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#165 Boise St. Broncos -6 1/2
4-Units (3:00 P.M. CST)
Let's make sure that we give props to the Nevada program and what they have accomplished this year! We'll start with their rushing offense, which is ranked #1 in the country with 324 rushing yards a game. It all starts with quarterback Colin Kaepernick. He is the teams #2 leading rusher with 1,017 yards on the season, and is just behind running back Vai Taua who leads the team with 1,284 rushing yards. These two are a dynamic duo, and have led a Nevada offense that has put up 40 or more points in 4 of their 5 home games this season. However, defense has been their Achilles heel this season. Despite an abundance of points from the offense, their defense has yielded 31 points a game on the season.
Although Boise St. doesn't hold a number one ranking in either offensive or defensive categories, they are much more balanced overall. Offensively they are ranked #15 in both total yards from scrimmage and points scored. They are also ranked #2 defensively in points allowed with 10 a game. The offense is led by freshman quarterback Kellen Moore who has thrown for 2637 yards on the season. He has a couple of reliable backs in Johnson and Avery who have combined to go over the 1000 yard mark on the season.
Boise St. has traveled well this season, and usually bring a decent crowd to Reno. Boise St. is also 7-2 against the spread vs Nevada since 1992, and are 3-1 against the spread in Reno since 1992. Boise St. and Nevada have played 5 common opponents this season. Boise St. went 5-0 against those teams while Nevada went 3-2. In these games Boise St. averaged 41 points a game and Nevada averaged 42 points a game. Not much difference! There was a HUGE difference on the defensive sides of the ball. Boise St. gave up 9 points a game to these common opponents, while Nevada gave up 27 points a game to the same group of teams. The big difference maker was forced turnovers, with Boise St. forcing 3.6 turnovers a game, while Nevada forced 1.4 turnovers a game. Let's side with a more balanced Boise St. team that still has hopes of an Undefeated season!
Take Boise St. -6 1/2 for 4-Units as our NCAA Football Game of the Week!
Trends worth Considering:
BOISE ST is 17-5 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 20-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging more than 425 yards/game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-18 ATS after playing their last game on the road since 1992.
Nevada Head Coach Ault is 19-7 ATS in home games as the coach of NEVADA.
Nevada is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State.
Nevada has the worst pass defense in the WAC, allowing 318.1 passing yards per game.
Thanks and Good Luck